MLB · 2026-06-12 · 7:10 PM ET

New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox

Model projection, ATS lean, and totals analysis.

New York Yankees
5.3
Projected Total
9
Boston Red Sox
3.8
Run Line
New York Yankees -1.5 · home: Boston Red Sox
Lean: Boston Red Sox covers
Total Runs
O/U 9
Lean: UNDER
New York Yankees win prob
71.9%
Boston Red Sox win prob
28.1%
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Matchup Overview

New York and Boston renew the rivalry with the Yankees projected ahead 5.3 to 3.8.

Key Matchup Edges

The Yankees rate as the more likely straight-up winner, while Boston receives the home-underdog run-line signal.

Run Line Analysis

New York is favored by 1.5 runs, but the model leans Boston +1.5.

Total Analysis

The projection lands at 9.0 against a total of 9.0, with an under signal because the number is elevated.

Final Pick

Projected score: Yankees 5.3, Red Sox 3.8. Run-line lean: Boston +1.5. Total lean: under 9.0.

FAQ

Who is projected to win Yankees vs Red Sox?

New York is projected to win 5.3-3.8.

What is the run-line lean?

Boston +1.5.

What is the total lean?

Under 9.0.

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