MLB · 2026-06-12 · 7:10 PM ET

Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians

Model projection, ATS lean, and totals analysis.

Detroit Tigers
3.5
Projected Total
8.5
Cleveland Guardians
5
Run Line
Cleveland Guardians -1.5 · home: Cleveland Guardians
Lean: Cleveland Guardians covers
Total Runs
O/U 8.5
Lean: OVER
Detroit Tigers win prob
28.1%
Cleveland Guardians win prob
71.9%
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Matchup Overview

Detroit and Cleveland meet in an AL Central matchup with Cleveland projected ahead 5.0 to 3.5.

Key Matchup Edges

Cleveland gets the home-field bump and grades as the side more likely to control the late innings.

Run Line Analysis

With Cleveland laying 1.5 runs, the model leans favorite.

Total Analysis

The posted total is 8.5 and the projection lands at 8.5, with a modest over signal.

Final Pick

Projected score: Cleveland Guardians 5.0, Detroit Tigers 3.5. Run-line lean: Cleveland -1.5. Total lean: over 8.5.

FAQ

Who is projected to win Tigers vs Guardians?

Cleveland is projected to win 5.0-3.5.

What is the run-line lean?

Cleveland -1.5.

What is the total lean?

Over 8.5.

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