MLB · 2026-06-12 · 8:15 PM ET

Chicago Cubs vs St. Louis Cardinals

Model projection, ATS lean, and totals analysis.

Chicago Cubs
3.5
Projected Total
8.5
St. Louis Cardinals
5
Run Line
St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 · home: St. Louis Cardinals
Lean: St. Louis Cardinals covers
Total Runs
O/U 8.5
Lean: OVER
Chicago Cubs win prob
28.1%
St. Louis Cardinals win prob
71.9%
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Matchup Overview

Chicago and St. Louis meet with the Cardinals projected ahead 5.0 to 3.5.

Key Matchup Edges

St. Louis benefits from both the favorite role and the home-field adjustment.

Run Line Analysis

The Cardinals are laying 1.5 runs and the model leans St. Louis -1.5.

Total Analysis

The model projects 8.5 total runs against a posted 8.5, with the signal landing over.

Final Pick

Projected score: Cardinals 5.0, Cubs 3.5. Run-line lean: St. Louis -1.5. Total lean: over 8.5.

FAQ

Who is projected to win Cubs vs Cardinals?

St. Louis is projected to win 5.0-3.5.

What is the run-line lean?

St. Louis -1.5.

What is the total lean?

Over 8.5.

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